Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.19%) and 3-2 (4.79%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.