Oxford United and Blackpool square off in the first leg of their League One playoff semi-final after ending the regular campaign as the two form teams in the division.
While the home side recorded three successive wins to sneak into the top six, the visitors posted four victories in a row to claim third position.
Match preview
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Having started the season with seven defeats in 10 matches, Oxford's hopes of promotion appeared to be over by the middle of November.
However, nine wins from 10 fixtures during the turn of the year catapulted Karl Robinson's side back into contention, and a strong end to the season resulted in Portsmouth and Charlton Athletic being edged out for sixth spot.
The achievement of Robinson and his squad will not generate many headlines, but they deserve plenty of credit for the turnaround of the past six months.
Despite 56 goals being conceded at the back, a return of 77 strikes at the other end of the pitch was the third-best in the division.
Matty Taylor emerged as the key player in the team, the club's leading marksman ending the campaign with 18 goals after netting three times in as many matches to get Oxford over the line.
Like their hosts, Blackpool endured a difficult start to the season with just seven points being collected from nine encounters.
However, the club's owners have been rewarded for sticking with Neil Critchley, whose side registered just two defeats during the final 22 matches of the campaign.
Although the Tangerines finished in third place, there is no frustration after missing out on automatic promotion with the North-West outfit relying of four successive wins to guarantee their spot in the top six.
Four clean sheets have been kept in succession, ensuring that Blackpool ended the regular season with the best defensive record in the third tier.
While Blackpool have been heavily reliant on the attacking contribution of Jerry Yates, their unity at the back could prove to be the difference when it comes to a return to the Championship.
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Team News
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Having made a number of changes for the final-day fixture against Bristol Rovers, Critchley will revert back to his strongest XI.
Ellis Simms, who scored the decisive goal in that game as a substitute, should be recalled along with Yates, Oliver Turton, Luke Garbutt, Danny Ballard and Chris Maxwell.
Barring any late fitness issues, Robinson is unlikely to make any changes to his Oxford starting lineup after the 4-0 win over Burton Albion.
With the game over as a contest after the hour mark, Robinson was able to rest his key players in preparation for this fixture.
Despite contributing three goals and an assist during his last six substitute outings, Sam Winnall is expected to remain among the replacements.
Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Stevens; Long, Moore, Atkinson, Ruffels; Henry, Brannagan, Sykes; Lee, Taylor, Shodipo
Blackpool possible starting lineup:
Maxwell; Lawrence-Gabriel, Ballard, Thorniley, Husband, Garbutt; Turton, Dougall, Embleton; Yates, Simms
We say: Oxford United 1-1 Blackpool
Both teams will be confident of success on Tuesday evening, leading us to expect a lively encounter at the Kassam Stadium. All things considered, a competitive draw is the most likely outcome, but do not be surprised to see one of these sides nick a late winner.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
