MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 08:12:06| >> :600:148225:148225:
[monks data]
Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Northern Ireland national football team

Norway
1 - 0
Northern Ireland

Dallas (68' og.)
King (62'), Elyounoussi (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Norway vs. Northern Ireland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Norway and Northern Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Northern Ireland will be looking to quickly bounce back from defeat when they take on Norway in a UEFA Nations League clash at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo on Wednesday.

Ian Baraclough's side lost 1-0 at home to Austria on Sunday and are now bottom of Group B1, while Norway are up to second after beating Romania 4-0 on the same day.


Match preview

Northern Ireland boss Baraclough accepted that his side were 'fearful' of Austria in Sunday's defeat at Windsor Park, where 600 supporters were allowed to watch the game.

Michael Gregoritsch scored what proved to be the winner shortly before half time, though Austria could easily have already been a few goals ahead by that point.

Baraclough knows that a lot more is required from the Green and White Army if they are to avoid relegation to League C, starting with an improved display in Oslo.

The loss to Austria came just a few days on from their penalty shootout triumph over Bosnia-Herzegovina, setting up a Euro 2020 playoff final showdown with Slovakia next month.

That is a truly massive game for Northern Ireland, of course, but before that they need to get some points on the board this week.

Norn Iron find themselves bottom of Group B1, three points adrift of third-placed Romania and a further two adrift of Norway and Austria.

Norway pair Erling Braut Haaland and Alexander Sorloth celebrate against Northern Ireland on September 7, 2020© Reuters

Norway are very much in contention for promotion, then, after cruising to a comfortable victory in their home meeting with Romania.

Erling Braut Haaland was the star of the show with another hat-trick - albeit his first at international level - while Alexander Sorloth was also on target in the one-sided game.

Unlike Northern Ireland, though, Norway have no chance of qualifying for next summer's European Championship finals after losing their playoff semi-final to Serbia last week.

The UEFA Nations League is now the Lions' sole focus and they will be keen to make it three wins in a row in the competition in midweek.

Norway enter this game on the back of an impressive scoring streak that has seen them net at least once in their last 18 matches since September 2018.

That includes five goals when they last met Northern Ireland last month, with Lars Lagerback's side running out 5-1 winners in Belfast.

Norway Nations League form: LWW
Norway form (all competitions): WWLWLW

Northern Ireland Nations League form: DLL
Northern Ireland form (all competitions): DLDLWL


Team News

Northern Ireland's Liam Boyce celebrates after the Euro 2020 qualification playoff with Bosnia-Herzegovina on October 8, 2020© Reuters

Stefan Johansen picked up a knock against Serbia and missed the win over Romania, while back-up goalkeeper Orjan Nyland is also carrying an injury.

After coming on as a second-half substitute in that most recent outing, Joshua King will be pushing for a recall here, possibly at the expense of Mohamed Elyounoussi.

As for the visitors, Baraclough has no reported injury or suspension concerns, though he may be tempted to rotate his side for this third game in less than a week.

The likes of Gavin Whyte, Jordan Jones and Kyle Lafferty were brought in against Austria, but all three of those could make way in Oslo.

Conor Washington, who has four goals in 23 international appearances, is expected to lead the line.

Norway possible starting lineup:
Jarstein; Linnes, Strandberg, Ajer, Aleesami; Odegaard, Normann, Henriksen, King; Haaland, Sorloth

Northern Ireland possible starting lineup:
McGovern; McLaughlin, Cathcart, J.Evans, Lewis; Davis, Thompson; Dallas, McNair, Saville; Washington


SM words green background

We say: Norway 2-0 Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland are seeking their first UEFA Nations League victory at the eighth attempt, losing all but one of those previous seven games in the competition.

Baraclough's men scraped through their Euro 2020 qualifier but have otherwise looked pretty poor in recent games, whereas Norway have scored goals for fun and will surely have too much quality for their opponents.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norway in this match.


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Game History

Who will win Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Norway and Northern Ireland?

Norway
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Northern Ireland
0.0%
0
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Northern Ireland manager Ian Baraclough pictured on September 4, 2020
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League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal642014
Q Croatia Croatia62228
3 Scotland flag Scotland62137
4 Poland Poland61144

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France641113
Q Italy Italy641113
3 Belgium Belgium61144
4 Israel Israel61144

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany642014
Q Netherlands Netherlands62319
3 Hungary Hungary61326
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina60242

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain651016
Q Denmark Denmark62228
3 Serbia Serbia61326
4 Switzerland Switzerland60242

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
2 Ukraine Ukraine62228
3 Georgia Georgia62137
4 Albania national flag Albania62137

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England650115
2 Greece Greece650115
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland62046
4 Finland Finland60060

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Norway Norway641113
2 Austria Austria632111
3 Slovenia Slovenia62228
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan60151

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Wales flag Wales633012
2 Turkey Turkey632111
3 Iceland Iceland62137
4 Montenegro Montenegro61053

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden651016
2 Slovakia Slovakia641113
3 Estonia Estonia61144
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan60151

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania550015
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo540112
3 Cyprus Cyprus62046
4 Lithuania Lithuania60060

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland632111
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria62319
3 Belarus Belarus61417
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg60333

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia651016
2 Armenia Armenia62137
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands61326
4 Latvia Latvia61144

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q San Marino flag San Marino42117
2 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein40222

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta42117
3 Andorra flag Andorra40131


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