Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.