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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 1
Glenavon


Taylor (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCloskey (37')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 5-2 Ballymena
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-0 Dungannon
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
38.18% (-0.12 -0.12) 24.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 37.42% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-0.108 -0.11)42.8% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-0.104 -0.1)65.21% (0.104 0.1)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)22.36% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (-0.162 -0.16)55.86% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 38.18%
    Glenavon 37.42%
    Draw 24.4%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.42%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Glenavon
1-0
Ballymena
Birney (4')
Wallace (21'), McDonagh (62'), Rogers (66'), Campbell (69'), McCloskey (72')
Rogers (80')

Rocks (36'), Place (45+3'), McMurray (79'), Whiteside (83'), McGuigan (86')
Place (51')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Fitzpatrick (20', 48'), Malone (74' pen.)
Place (53' pen.), Farquhar (90+3')
Apr 3, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Fitzpatrick (50'), Wallace (58'), Malone (67' pen.)
Gibson (23'), Keeley (61')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ballymena
2-2
Glenavon
McElroy (4'), Gibson (32')
McCullough (10'), Redman (33')
Campbell (45+1'), Prendergast (90+4')
Birney (31')
Bradley (55'), Doyle (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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