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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Spain national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Czech Republic national football team

Spain
2 - 0
Czech Republic

Soler (24'), Sarabia (75')
Carvajal (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Spain and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with the Czech Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

Last Six:
Last Game: Switzerland 0-1 Spain
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Czech Republic

Last Six:
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Czech Republic
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Spain 1-0 Czech Republic

 Even if Enrique does opt to put out a second-string XI for the final matchday of this month, La Roja's options in reserve are certainly formidable, and Silhavy has generally been loath to change his setup over the course of June. Such a tactic may not reap its rewards as his players battle fatigue, and given Spain's hot streak in front of goal, we are backing Enrique's side to dig deep and post a second consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawCzech Republic
54.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.64% (-0.058 -0.06) 20.38% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.4% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.283 0.28)53.78% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.239 0.24)75.25% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (0.113 0.11)19.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (0.181 0.18)51.37% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.88% (0.225 0.23)41.13% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (0.198 0.2)77.67% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Spain 54.96%
    Czech Republic 20.38%
    Draw 24.64%
SpainDrawCzech Republic
1-0 @ 13.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.96%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 20.38%

How you voted: Spain vs Czech Republic

Spain
74.3%
Draw
19.9%
Czech Republic
5.9%
136
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 7.45pm
League A2
Czech Republic
2-2
Spain
Pesek (4'), Kuchta (66')
Coufal (90+2')
Gavi (45+3'), Martinez (90')
Rodri (58')
Jun 13, 2016 2pm
Group D
Spain
1-0
Czech Republic
Pique (87')

Limbersky (61')
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