Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
63.63% ( 0.01) | 18.68% ( -0.01) | 17.69% |
Both teams to score 62.7% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.63% ( 0.08) | 31.37% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.18% ( 0.09) | 52.82% ( -0.09) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.56% ( 0.03) | 9.44% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.28% ( 0.06) | 31.72% ( -0.06) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.24% ( 0.05) | 30.76% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% ( 0.06) | 67.03% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 63.63% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 17.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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