Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Gateshead |
34.61% ( 2.27) | 23.26% ( 0.25) | 42.12% ( -2.53) |
Both teams to score 63.83% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.38% ( -0.49) | 37.62% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.14% ( -0.53) | 59.85% ( 0.53) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% ( 1.01) | 21.85% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.91% ( 1.51) | 55.09% ( -1.51) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( -1.23) | 18.32% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.58% ( -2.12) | 49.41% ( 2.12) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.53% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.71% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |