Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
48.65% ( 0.06) | 24.04% ( -0.06) | 27.31% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( 0.25) | 44.86% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( 0.24) | 67.22% ( -0.25) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( 0.12) | 18.54% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.2% ( 0.2) | 49.79% ( -0.21) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% ( 0.13) | 30.02% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( 0.15) | 66.14% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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