Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Gateshead |
21.26% ( -0.14) | 23.39% ( -0.05) | 55.35% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( 0.04) | 47.78% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0.04) | 69.97% ( -0.04) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% ( -0.12) | 36.79% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.42% ( -0.12) | 73.58% ( 0.12) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.89% ( 0.09) | 17.11% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.68% ( 0.15) | 47.32% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.26% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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