Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.79%) and 0-3 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
8.74% | 16.29% | 74.97% |
Both teams to score 43.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% | 42.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% | 65.13% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.06% | 51.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.04% | 85.97% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.24% | 9.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.53% | 32.47% |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 3.32% 2-1 @ 2.53% 2-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.8% Total : 8.74% | 1-1 @ 7.73% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 2.95% Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.29% | 0-2 @ 13.72% 0-1 @ 11.79% 0-3 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 6.98% 0-4 @ 6.2% 1-4 @ 4.06% 0-5 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-5 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.33% 0-6 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.08% Total : 74.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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