FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Hemmings (72' pen.)
Morgan-Smith (20'), Sterling-James (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Towler (59'), Fox (74')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Grimsby Town
18.25%	21.89%	59.86%

Both teams to score 52.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51%

45.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18%

67.82%

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34%

38.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6%

75.4%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21%

14.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.95%

43.05%

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 18.25%

Grimsby Town 59.85%

Draw 21.88%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 5.43% 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.25%	1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 10.92% 0-2 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-4 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 3.01% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.22% 1-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.85%