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National League South | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Stadium
Havant & Waterlooville

Cheshunt
2 - 3
Havant & W'ville

Charles (61'), da Silva (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roberts (35', 53'), Fall (70')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Cheshunt and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-2 Cheshunt
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Bath City
Wednesday, October 26 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
CheshuntDrawHavant & Waterlooville
20.44%21.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 58.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (0.07 0.07)38.92% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (0.071999999999996 0.07)61.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (0.040000000000006 0.04)32.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (0.044 0.04)69.08% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (0.031000000000006 0.03)13.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)39.71% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cheshunt 20.44%
    Havant & Waterlooville 58.4%
    Draw 21.16%
CheshuntDrawHavant & Waterlooville
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 4.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.97%
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 58.4%

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