National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 1Weston
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Weston-super-Mare.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Weston 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
49.1% ( 0.11) | 24.43% ( -0.04) | 26.48% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( 0.14) | 47.15% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% ( 0.13) | 69.39% ( -0.13) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.1) | 19.26% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.17) | 50.98% ( -0.17) |
Weston-super-Mare Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( 0.02) | 31.85% ( -0.02) |