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National League South | Gameweek 18
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet

Dyer (81'), Wilson (87')
Batten (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ming (38' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Bath City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bath City in this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawDulwich Hamlet
51.25% (-0.129 -0.13) 23.57% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.18% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)44.47% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.122 -0.12)66.84% (0.126 0.13)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)17.39% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (-0.167 -0.17)47.82% (0.169 0.17)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.84%
Score Analysis
    Bath City 51.25%
    Dulwich Hamlet 25.18%
    Draw 23.56%
Bath CityDrawDulwich Hamlet
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 51.25%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.18%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Bath City
1-4
Dulwich Hamlet
Wilson (2')
Timlin (36'), McGregor (47'), Moore (58'), Mills (79')
rhs 2.0
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