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National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
5 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet

Brookes (43'), Jones (58'), Folivi (63'), Trotter (72'), Johnson (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Porter (88')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Dulwich Hamlet win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDulwich Hamlet
57.06% (-0.137 -0.14) 22.27% (0.055 0.05) 20.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.125 -0.13)43.68% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.123 -0.12)66.07% (0.125 0.13)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)15.09% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.38% (-0.166 -0.17)43.62% (0.169 0.17)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (0.012999999999991 0.01)35.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (0.012 0.01)71.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 57.06%
    Dulwich Hamlet 20.67%
    Draw 22.27%
Chelmsford CityDrawDulwich Hamlet
1-0 @ 10% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 57.06%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.27%
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Dulwich Hamlet
2-1
Chelmsford City
Clarke (19', 87')
Eweka (79')
Blackwell (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
1-3
Chelmsford City
Mills (44')
Dada (2'), Imray (61'), Sheringham (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston17114231151637
2Truro CityTruro City18104429161334
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1810442722534
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd188732216631
5Dorking WanderersDorking198653529630
6Farnborough TownFarnborough189363127430
7Worthing178542728-129
8Slough TownSlough1884633231028
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Hampton & RichmondHampton177462417725
11Chippenham TownChippenham187472419525
12Chesham UnitedChesham157352722524
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels156632015524
14Maidstone UnitedMaidstone165832018223
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch176561617-123
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.196492533-822
18Welling UnitedWelling United1861111934-1519
19Salisbury164572227-517
20Bath City1844101326-1316
21St Albans CitySt Albans City172691625-912
22Weymouth172691122-1112
23Aveley1732121730-1311
24Enfield Town1732121638-2211


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