MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 14:55:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Ebbsfleet United

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Ebbsfleet

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cundle (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawEbbsfleet
32.27% (0.073 0.07) 26.3% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 41.44% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)52.08% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)73.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (0.021999999999991 0.02)30.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)66.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)24.83% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)59.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 32.27%
    Ebbsfleet 41.43%
    Draw 26.29%
Chelmsford CityDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.27%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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