Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Hungerford Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
31.75% ( -0.22)	26% ( -0.27)	42.24% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.97% (

1.04)

51.03% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.11% (

0.9)

72.89% (

-0.9)

Hungerford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

0.37)

30.01% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

0.45)

66.14% (

-0.45)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05% (

0.71)

23.95% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.82% (

58.18% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Hungerford Town 31.75%

Chelmsford City 42.24%

Draw 26%

Hungerford Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 31.75%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.24%