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National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Welling United

FT(HT: 0-0)
Maloney (49' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawWelling United
64.99% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 20.18% (-0.052 -0.05) 14.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.44% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.17 0.17)44.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.166 0.17)66.55% (-0.166 -0.17)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.81% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (0.157 0.16)39.14% (-0.156 -0.16)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06)42.15% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.053999999999998 0.05)78.57% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 64.98%
    Welling United 14.83%
    Draw 20.18%
Chelmsford CityDrawWelling United
2-0 @ 11.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.83%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Welling United
0-4
Chelmsford City
Teniola (45' pen.), Church (52', 70'), Liddle (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS


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