Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Welling United in this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
42.74% ( 0.18)	24.86% ( -0)	32.4% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-0.05)

45.85% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

-0.05)

68.16% (

0.04)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

0.06)

21.47% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.49% (

0.1)

54.51% (

-0.1)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.14)

27.04% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

-0.18)

62.4% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Welling United 42.74%

Tonbridge Angels 32.4%

Draw 24.86%

Welling United	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.74%	1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.4%