MX23RW : Monday, September 30 10:09:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Beresford (3'), Kealy (18' pen.), Chambers (24')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Aransibia (12'), Greenidge (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawTonbridge Angels
56.71% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 21.46% (-0.488 -0.49) 21.82% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 59.71% (2.618 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.53% (3.04 3.04)38.46% (-3.043 -3.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24% (3.149 3.15)60.75% (-3.153 -3.15)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (0.977 0.98)13.44% (-0.98 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.57% (1.928 1.93)40.42% (-1.932 -1.93)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (2.268 2.27)31.01% (-2.271 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (2.577 2.58)67.31% (-2.579 -2.58)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 56.71%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.82%
    Draw 21.46%
WorthingDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.605 -0.6)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.929 -0.93)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.332 0.33)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.205 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.229 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 56.71%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.307 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.631 -0.63)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.248 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.175 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 21.82%

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