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National League North | Gameweek 8
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 0
Farsley Celtic

Storey (21', 24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawFarsley Celtic
53.47% (2.502 2.5) 24.44% (-0.424 -0.42) 22.09% (-2.074 -2.07)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-1.125 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.287 -0.29)51.15% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27% (-0.251 -0.25)73% (0.255 0.25)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (0.887 0.89)19.07% (-0.883 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33% (1.447 1.45)50.67% (-1.443 -1.44)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-2.092 -2.09)37.89% (2.096 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-2.091 -2.09)74.66% (2.095 2.1)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 53.47%
    Farsley Celtic 22.09%
    Draw 24.44%
Hereford UnitedDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.643 0.64)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.495 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.261 0.26)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.47%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.325 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.437 -0.44)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.366 -0.37)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.09%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Farsley Celtic
0-4
Hereford
McLean (29'), Owen-Evans (77'), Touray (90+2'), Storey (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Farsley Celtic
1-2
Hereford
Hayhurst (75')
Owen-Evans (5'), Mooney (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1996433141933
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton17103422111133
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn1910362519633
4Chorley189542921832
5Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1894526161031
6Buxton1910183122931
7Chester FCChester189452318531
8Brackley Town179352013730
9Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
10Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor186752620625
12South Shields188192428-425
13SouthportSouthport197482531-625
14Leamington FCLeamington186572219323
15Darlington185851818023
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports196582025-523
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath165651919021
18Warrington Town194871824-620
19Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic1862101931-1220
20RadcliffeRadcliffe184682231-918
21Oxford CityOxford City194692636-1018
22Marine AFC17449921-1216
23Needham Market1943121333-2015
24Rushall Olympic1833121732-1512


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