Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Farsley Celtic
51.64% ( -0.28)	24.56% ( 0.16)	23.8% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

-0.55)

49.94% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07% (

-0.49)

71.93% (

0.5)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

-0.32)

19.32% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.91% (

-0.53)

51.09% (

0.54)

Farsley Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4% (

-0.19)

35.6% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63% (

-0.2)

72.37% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 51.63%

Farsley Celtic 23.8%

Draw 24.55%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Farsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.63%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.8%