National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
Gloucester City5 - 1Farsley Celtic
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Farsley Celtic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 1-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-3 Southport
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Gloucester City | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
48.26% ( 0.02) | 25% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.59% ( -0.08) | 49.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% ( -0.07) | 71.45% ( 0.07) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( -0.02) | 20.5% ( 0.02) |