Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.