Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Troyes
45.3% ( 3.26)	25.75% ( -0.09)	28.95% ( -3.17)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86% (

-0.93)

51.14% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01% (

-0.82)

72.99% (

0.83)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

1.16)

22.53% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89% (

1.7)

56.11% (

-1.7)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-2.69)

32.05% (

2.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-3.18)

68.52% (

3.18)

Score Analysis

Pau 45.3%

Troyes 28.95%

Draw 25.74%

Pau	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.81) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.3%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.95%