Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Troyes
45.72% ( -0.18)	26.95% ( 0.04)	27.34% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.39% (

-0.06)

56.62% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.42% (

-0.05)

77.59% (

0.05)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

-0.12)

24.71% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

-0.16)

59.26% (

0.16)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.79% (

0.08)

36.21% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

0.08)

73% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 45.72%

Troyes 27.34%

Draw 26.94%

Ajaccio	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.72%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.34%