Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.