Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Metz |
41.03% | 26.79% | 32.18% |
Both teams to score 50.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.91% | 54.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% | 75.51% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% | 25.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% | 60.96% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |