Saudi Arabia ground out a respectable result against Nigeria last time out and will therefore be confident of repeating the trick or better on Tuesday. Mali have been in sensational form of late and will be primed to record another noticeable success against Saudi Arabia in Portimao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Mali
19.21% ( 0.91)	26.15% ( 0.03)	54.64% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 41.81% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.72% (

0.86)

60.27% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.55% (

0.65)

80.45% (

-0.65)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.77% (

1.59)

46.22% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.1% (

1.2)

81.89% (

-1.2)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.03)

22.24% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-0.05)

55.68% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 19.21%

Mali 54.63%

Draw 26.14%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.21%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 15.45% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 11.61% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.63%