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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Inter logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Atalanta
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 0-1 Inter Milan

No team has kept more clean sheets than either Inter or Atalanta throughout Europe's top five leagues this term - seven each, level with Nice and Juventus - so it could be a cagey affair this weekend. The visitors' fluent front line should help them breach their hosts' tight defence, though, and rack up a ninth win from 11 league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
35.94% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 26.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.2% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)53.81% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (-0.026 -0.03)75.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.71% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)64.54% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)63.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 35.93%
    Inter Milan 37.2%
    Draw 26.86%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.2%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Milan
66.7%
90
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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