League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
1 - 3
Crawley

Norris (21')
Jennings (35')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kelley (2'), Williams (10'), Orsi (79')
Kelley (50')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Crawley Town

Tranmere have been brilliant at home for the majority of this season but they have fallen to two defeats at Prenton Park in their last six games, while Crawley have won three of their last four games on the road. The visitors have been victorious in both of the previous two meetings between these sides, scoring at least two in each of these games, and we expect them to repeat this on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
39.02% ( 0.12)	24.84% ( -0.03)	36.14% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.26% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

0.12)

44.98% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

0.12)

67.33% (

-0.12)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

0.11)

22.9% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

0.17)

56.66% (

-0.16)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57% (

0.01)

24.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14% (

0.01)

58.85% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 39.02%

Crawley Town 36.14%

Draw 24.84%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.02%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.14%