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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Crawley Town

Tranmere
1 - 3
Crawley

Norris (21')
Jennings (35')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kelley (2'), Williams (10'), Orsi (79')
Kelley (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Crawley Town

 Tranmere have been brilliant at home for the majority of this season but they have fallen to two defeats at Prenton Park in their last six games, while Crawley have won three of their last four games on the road. The visitors have been victorious in both of the previous two meetings between these sides, scoring at least two in each of these games, and we expect them to repeat this on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
39.02% (0.115 0.12) 24.84% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 36.14% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.26% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (0.122 0.12)44.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.117 0.12)67.33% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.113 0.11)22.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.16500000000001 0.17)56.66% (-0.164 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.02%
    Crawley Town 36.14%
    Draw 24.84%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crawley

Tranmere Rovers
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Crawley Town
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Crawley
3-2
Tranmere
Darcy (61'), Tsaroulla (68'), Lolas (90+6')
Gladwin (33'), Darcy (56'), Wright (76'), Lolas (90+7'), Khaleel (90+7')
Jolley (21'), Taylor (66')
Walker (45+2'), Jolley (60'), Pike (74'), Yarney (89'), Hendry (90+4')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crawley
2-1
Tranmere
Oteh (30'), Powell (40')
Saunders (8')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Tranmere
1-0
Crawley
Turnbull (68')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Craig (72')
Spearing (65')
Spearing (86'), Hemmings (87')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')
McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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