League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 2
Crawley

Thomson (26')
Cornelius (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Forster (58'), Lolas (66')
Gordon (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Crawley Town
32.63% ( -0.15)	24.45% ( -0.03)	42.92% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

0.12)

43.92% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

0.12)

66.31% (

-0.11)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04% (

-0.03)

25.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

-0.05)

60.97% (

0.05)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

0.13)

20.59% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

0.21)

53.12% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 32.63%

Crawley Town 42.92%

Draw 24.45%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.63%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 42.92%