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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
32.63% ( -0.15) | 24.45% ( -0.03) | 42.92% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.08% ( 0.12) | 43.92% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( 0.12) | 66.31% ( -0.11) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% ( -0.03) | 25.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( -0.05) | 60.97% ( 0.05) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.13) | 20.59% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( 0.21) | 53.12% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 42.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |