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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
20.82% | 22.66% | 56.52% |
Both teams to score 54.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% | 45.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% | 67.52% |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.25% | 35.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.47% | 72.52% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% | 15.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% | 44.91% |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 5.8% 2-1 @ 5.51% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.82% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.62% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-3 @ 5.92% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |