Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.