Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
