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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's Athletic

Waterford
3 - 1
St Patrick's

Amond (7', 41'), Asamoah (70')
Amond (56'), McDonald (77'), Power (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Breslin (34')
Lennon (56')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galway United 2-1 Waterford
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
43.35% (0.302 0.3) 26.04% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 30.62% (-0.361 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.369 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.43% (-0.402 -0.4)51.57% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.352 -0.35)73.37% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)57.75% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.455 -0.45)31.07% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.539 -0.54)67.39% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 43.34%
    St Patrick's Athletic 30.62%
    Draw 26.03%
Waterford UnitedDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Waterford vs St Patrick's

Waterford United
20.0%
Draw
80.0%
St Patrick's Athletic
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Waterford
0-0
St Patrick's
Milambo (76')
Hickman (55')
Aug 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
St Patrick's
2-1
Waterford
Smith (23'), Melvin-Lambert (58')
McCormack (45+3'), Barrett (55')
Quitirna (64' pen.)
O'Keeffe (28'), Nolan (51')
Jun 25, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Waterford
1-1
St Patrick's
Griffin (35')
(26'), (58'), (82')
Smith (8')
Lewis (18')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
St Patrick's
1-0
Waterford
Burns (3')

Martin (33'), O'Keeffe (48'), Mascoll (53'), Mutswunguma (67'), Waite (83'), Sobowale (90+3')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Waterford
3-0
St Patrick's
Coote (24'), Martin (28'), O'Connor (80')
Smith (34'), Weir (58'), Griffin (71')

Kelly (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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