Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a win it was 1-2 (5.37%).
Result | ||
Draw | ||
58.43% | 21.55% | 20.02% |
Both teams to score 56.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.68% | 41.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.28% | 63.71% |
Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.14% | 13.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.75% | 41.25% |
Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% | 34.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% | 71.04% |
Score Analysis |
Draw | ||
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 3.23% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.17% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.31% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-1 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |