After a tightly-fought 1-1 draw in the first leg, Juventus and Villarreal reconvene for the second leg of their Champions League last-16 quarter-final tie at the Allianz Stadium on Wednesday night.
The Bianconeri head into the second leg having marched to a 3-1 Serie A win over Sampdoria, while Unai Emery's side scraped past Celta Vigo 1-0 in La Liga.
Match preview
© Reuters
Taking to the Champions League like a duck to water, Juve's Dusan Vlahovic needed no more than 32 seconds of European action to open his account on the continental stage - and some finish it was too - but an injury-hit Bianconeri could not hold on.
Villarreal's timeless veteran Dani Parejo ensured that it would be left all to play for in Turin with his 66th-minute equaliser, but that 1-1 draw represented the last in a sequence of Juventus stalemates, with Massimiliano Allegri's side since developing into a winning machine.
The Scudetto chasers are now unbeaten in 12 successive games across all competitions since their Super Cup heartache against Inter Milan back in January - winning each of their last four - and an own goal from Maya Yoshida alongside Alvaro Morata's brace propelled Juve to a 3-1 success over Sampdoria on Saturday.
Still rank outsiders when it comes to reclaiming their domestic crown, Juventus suffered last-16 exits in the 2019-20 and 2020-21 editions of the Champions League and have not progressed further than the quarter-finals since falling at the last hurdle to Real Madrid in 2017, but an opportunity to make the last eight is theirs for the taking.
The abolition of the away goals rule does mean that both sides enter the contest on a level playing field, but Juve have not suffered defeat at home yet in 2022 and have only conceded four goals in their last 10 at the Allianz Stadium, which has become something of a European fortress for them in months gone by.
© Reuters
Going all the way in the Europa League is Unai Emery's bread and butter, but Villarreal will travel to Turin as the underdogs to advance to the quarter-finals of Europe's elite competition after failing to take full advantage of Juve's injury woes in the first leg.
The Yellow Submarine have been hit-and-miss since playing out that 1-1 with the Bianconeri, thrashing Espanyol 5-1, going down 1-0 to Osasuna and scraping past Celta Vigo in Saturday's fixture courtesy of another second-half Parejo effort.
Only twice before have Villarreal managed to make it as far as the quarter-finals in the Champions League - most recently doing so in 2008-09 before being swiftly dispatched by Emery's old club Arsenal - and an extensive injury list does not bode well for the Yellow Submarine here.
Villarreal do know what it takes to get the better of Italian sides on their own turf - coming up trumps in a 3-2 thriller with Atalanta BC back in December - but the 2005-06 semi-finalists can only boast one clean sheet from their last 15 away Champions League matches ahead of a daunting trip to Turin.
The 1-1 stalemate in the first leg marked the inaugural competitive meeting between Villarreal and Juventus in any continental competition, and it will certainly be a case of European veterans versus Champions League novices in the battle for supremacy in Turin.
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- D
- D
- D
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- D
- D
- W
- D
- W
- L
- W
Team News
© Reuters
Juventus midfielder Denis Zakaria picked up a muscular injury in the first leg and will not make the cut for the second leg, with Weston McKennie and Federico Chiesa out for the long-term alongside Kaio Jorge.
Allegri is also optimistic that the duo of Paulo Dybala and Giorgio Chiellini will return for the visit of the Yellow Submarine alongside Federico Bernardeschi, but Alex Sandro and Leonardo Bonucci will both be absent, with the former's absence opening up a spot for Mattia De Sciglio to feature.
Vlahovic was named among the substitutes for the Sampdoria win but will expect to displace Moise Kean in the first XI this week, with Chiellini primed to take Daniele Rugani's spot in defence if he is deemed fit enough. Adrien Rabiot endured a disasterclass in the first leg, meanwhile, and he could drop out given that one more yellow card would see him incur a one-game European ban.
As for Villarreal, experienced centre-back Raul Albiol had to be taken off at half time against Celta Vigo due to hamstring discomfort, although Emery affirmed that his substitution was precautionary and he has not been ruled out of the second leg.
Ruben Pena, Paco Alcacer and Alberto Moreno are definite absentees, and Emery is also sweating over the fitnesses of Gerard Moreno, Etienne Capoue and Juan Foyth ahead of Wednesday's game, although the trio reportedly trained normally on Tuesday alongside Albiol.
Vicente Iborra featured from the first whistle in Capoue's place against Celta but could now make way for Francis Coquelin, as Arnaut Danjuma shoulders the goalscoring burden in Moreno's possible absence.
Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Danilo, Chiellini, De Ligt, De Sciglio; Cuadrado, Locatelli, Arthur, Pelligrini; Vlahovic, Morata
Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Rulli; Aurier, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Coquelin, Parejo; Chukwueze, Lo Celso, Trigueros; Danjuma
We say: Juventus 2-0 Villarreal (Juventus win 3-1 on aggregate)
With a much more established feel about the Juve defence as Allegri prepares to welcome several big names back to the fold, the stage is set for the Bianconeri's European experience to come to the fore.
It is now Villarreal's turn to work around a wealth of absentees, and with Juve boasting a well-rested Vlahovic and proving an extremely tough nut to crack on home soil, we can only back Allegri's men to finish the job and progress to the last eight.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
