Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
36.96% ( -0.03)	28.82% ( 0.02)	34.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.75% (

-0.09)

61.24% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.82% (

-0.07)

81.17% (

0.06)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-0.07)

31.77% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-0.08)

68.2% (

0.07)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

-0.05)

33.56% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-0.05)

70.21% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 36.96%

Kyoto Sanga 34.22%

Draw 28.81%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.96%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.81%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.22%