Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
33.91% ( -0.01)	26.6% ( -0.09)	39.48% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

0.37)

52.98% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

0.32)

74.57% (

-0.32)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43% (

0.18)

29.57% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4% (

0.22)

65.6% (

-0.22)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

0.23)

26.28% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

0.31)

61.39% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 33.91%

Cerezo Osaka 39.48%

Draw 26.6%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.91%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.48%