Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
26.88% ( -0.08)	25.31% ( -0)	47.81% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

-0.04)

50.56% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52% (

-0.03)

72.48% (

0.03)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

-0.08)

33.34% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

-0.09)

69.96% (

0.09)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

0.02)

21.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

0.03)

54.03% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 26.88%

Urawa Red Diamonds 47.8%

Draw 25.3%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.88%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.8%