Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.