MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:11:42| >> :60:402:402:
Republic of Ireland national football team
Friendlies 1
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
New Zealand national football team

Rep. Ireland
1 - 1
New Zealand

Idah (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garbett (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Republic of Ireland and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Greece 2-0 New Zealand
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Republic of Ireland 1-0 New Zealand

Neither side will head into this match with much confidence having struggled in recent times, but Rep Ireland will sense an opportunity to impress their home fans on Tuesday. New Zealand are incredibly goal-shy and if Wood is rested as expected given his recent injury, Rep Ireland should have enough to narrowly return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawNew Zealand
54.26% (-0.445 -0.45) 24.45% (0.247 0.25) 21.29% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (-0.746 -0.75)52.02% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.647 -0.65)73.76% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)19.1% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (-0.756 -0.76)50.71% (0.756 0.76)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.82% (-0.224 -0.22)39.17% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.11% (-0.209 -0.21)75.89% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 54.25%
    New Zealand 21.29%
    Draw 24.44%
Republic of IrelandDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs New Zealand

Republic of Ireland
70.0%
Draw
23.3%
New Zealand
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2019 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
3-1
New Zealand
Williams (45'), Maguire (52'), Robinson (75')
Mccowatt (30')
rhs 2.0
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