MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:36:21| >> :60:423:423:
Japan national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 1.40pm UK
BMO Field
Canada national football team

Japan
1 - 2
Canada

Soma (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vitoria (21'), Cavallini (90+5' pen.)
Johnston (18'), Vitoria (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Canada and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies

We said: Canada 0-1 Japan

The minor injury to Davies seems to have served as a warning call to Herdman to take it easy and rest his star wing-back ahead of the World Cup. Regardless of how long the top players for either side feature in this match, we are leaning towards the Samurai Blue, who should be able to control the game's pace in the midfield while being a formidable defensive unit to break down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawCanada
47.47% (-0.17 -0.17) 25.48% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 27.04% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)51.17% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.023 -0.02)73.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)21.56% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (-0.132 -0.13)54.65% (0.13 0.13)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.096999999999994 0.1)33.54% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.105 0.11)70.18% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Japan 47.47%
    Canada 27.04%
    Draw 25.48%
JapanDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Canada vs Japan

Canada
28.3%
Draw
14.7%
Japan
57.1%
184
rhs 2.0
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
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