Les Rouges have faced some stingy defensive units in the past, but none with the kind of poise and commitment of Uruguay, who are challenging to break down and vastly experienced. We anticipate this will be a close game, while the Uruguayans' desire to slow down the pace of this game may frustrate a youthful Canadian side who enjoy playing counter-attacking football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Uruguay
46.8% ( 2.1)	23.66% ( -0.35)	29.54% ( -1.75)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33% (

0.74)

41.67% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93% (

0.75)

64.07% (

-0.75)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

1.15)

18.04% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

1.94)

48.93% (

-1.94)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.76)

26.81% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-1.01)

62.1% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Canada 46.8%

Uruguay 29.54%

Draw 23.66%

Canada	Draw	Uruguay
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.67% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.54%