Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 5.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.79%) and 3-0 (12.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.