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Olympic Games Women's Football | Quarter-Finals
Jul 30, 2021 at 10am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium
Australia national football team

GB Women
3 - 4
Australia Women

White (57', 66', 115')
Bronze (44'), Stanway (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Kennedy (35'), Kerr (89', 106'), Fowler (103')
Kerr (26'), Simon (69')

Preview: Great Britain Women vs. Australia Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Great Britain Women and Australia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Great Britain Women continue their bid to win an Olympic medal by squaring off against Australia Women in the quarter-finals on Friday.

While Hege Riise's side advanced to the last eight through topping Group E, Australia qualified after finishing as one of the best third-placed teams.


Match preview

Ellen White of Great Britain celebrates scoring against Chile Women at the Olympics on July 21, 2021© Reuters

Despite Great Britain's progression into the knockout stages being nothing more than efficient, head coach Riise will be delighted with her side's opening three matches.

Goals from Ellen White made the difference against Chile and Japan, leaving Great Britain requiring just a point to finish ahead of Canada.

A much-changed side made hard work of the concluding game in Group E, eventually securing a 1-1 draw courtesy of Caroline Weir's deflected equaliser six minutes from time.

Nevertheless, it provided a close-knit group with another opportunity to show the character which will be required to earn a medal next week.

Team Australia embrace Australia player Sam Kerr (2) after she scored her second goal of the game to go ahead 2-1 during the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Summer Games at Saitama Stadium on July 24, 2021© Reuters

Having been provided with a much tougher group than Great Britain, Australia were aware that they may have to rely on qualification through finishing outside of the top two in Group G.

Edging out New Zealand in their opening fixture was always going to prove crucial, and it effectively left the Matildas requiring a point from their final two games.

Although Australia conceded three second-half goals in losing 4-2 against Sweden, a goalless draw versus the United States ultimately got them over the line.

Tony Gustavsson will be optimistic that their previous experiences in this tournament can only stand them in good stead ahead of a meeting with opponents ranked three places above them in the world rankings.

With the United States and the Netherlands now in the opposite side of the draw, he will stress to his squad that this is the nation's best chance to finally end their wait to qualify for the last four of a major tournament.

Great Britain Women Olympic Games Women's Football form:
  • W
  • W
  • D

Australia Women Olympic Games Women's Football form:
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Team GB coach Hege Riise during training on July 3, 2021© Reuters

Riise is expected to revert back to the team which started Great Britain's 1-0 win over Japan last weekend.

That would mean recalls for Steph Houghton, Keira Walsh, Kim Little, Georgia Stanway and White.

Fran Kirby is likely to remain on the substitutes' bench after making her first outing of the tournament against Canada.

Barring any late fitness issues, Gustavsson could stick with the starting XI from the meeting with USA.

Chelsea's Sam Kerr has netted three of Australia's four goals in this tournament, taking her tally to 45 strikes from 96 appearances for her country.

Great Britain Women possible starting lineup:
Roebuck; Bronze, Houghton, Williamson, Stokes; Walsh, Ingle; Parris, Little, Hemp; White

Australia Women possible starting lineup:
Micah; Polkinghorne, Carpenter, Kennedy; Logarzo, Catley, Van Egmond, Yallop; Kerr, Fowler, Simon


SM words green background

We say: Great Britain Women 2-1 Australia Women

Despite their differing fortunes during the group stages, everything points to a competitive encounter occurring in Kashima.

Nevertheless, we still expect Great Britain to edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Great Britain Women win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Great Britain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (6.37%).


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Team GB coach Hege Riise during training on July 3, 2021
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