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[monks data]
Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
Germany national football team

Ukraine
1 - 2
Germany

Malinovskiy (77' pen.)
Malinovskiy (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ginter (20'), Goretzka (49')
Kroos (53'), Ginter (84')

Preview: Ukraine vs. Germany - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Ukraine and Germany, including team news and predicted lineups.

Germany's search for their first victory of their 2020-21 UEFA Nations League campaign will continue on Saturday night when they head to Kiev to take on Ukraine.

Joachim Low's side are currently third in Group 4 of League A with just two points from their two matches, while Ukraine are second in the section with three points to show from their opening two fixtures.


Match preview

Ukraine boss Andriy Shevchenko pictured on September 7, 2019© Reuters

Ukraine made the perfect start to their 2020-21 UEFA Nations League campaign, recording a 2-1 victory over Switzerland on September 3, which would have left them in a confident mood ahead of a trip to Spain.

Andriy Shevchenko's side suffered a 4-0 defeat to La Roja in Madrid, though, and will also enter this match off the back of a 7-1 loss to France in an international friendly on Wednesday night.

Ukraine, as mentioned, are still ahead of Germany in the section, though, and will mainly be using this tournament as preparation for next summer's European Championships.

The Yellow and Blues actually finished ahead of Portugal in their Euro 2020 qualifying section, remaining unbeaten across eight matches, collecting an impressive 20 points in the process.

Germany boss Joachim Low pictured on November 15, 2019© Reuters

Germany, meanwhile, will enter this weekend's contest off the back of a 3-3 draw with Turkey in a friendly on Wednesday night. The hosts were leading 3-2 until the final exchanges when Kenen Karaman came up with a stoppage-time leveller, meaning that Low's side are now winless in three matches.

Indeed, they started their 2020-21 UEFA Nations League campaign with successive 1-1 draws against Spain and Switzerland, meaning that there is a degree of pressure on the visitors on Saturday night.

Germany breezed through their qualification section for next summer's European Championships, winning seven of their eight matches to finish top of Group C ahead of the Netherlands.

Incredibly, though, Die Mannschaft are still waiting for their first win in the UEFA Nations League, losing two and drawing four of their six previous matches in the competition.

Low's side finished bottom of their section in the 2018-19 edition of the tournament, picking up just two points from their four matches against the Netherlands and France.

Ukraine Nations League form: WWWLWL
Ukraine form (all competitions): WWDWLL

Germany Nations League form: DLLDDD
Germany form (all competitions): WWWDDD


Team News

Germany's Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on November 19, 2019© Reuters

Ukraine incredibly selected 45-year-old assistant coach Oleksandr Shovkovskiy in their squad for the clash with France after a coronavirus outbreak led to three goalkeepers being forced to withdraw.

Shovkovskiy retired from professional football in 2016 and has not played for the national side since 2012 but is currently the reserve to Georgiy Bushchan, who debuted against France.

Taras Stepanenko was among those unavailable to travel due to a positive coronavirus test, while Mykola Matviyenko, Viktor Kovalenko, Marlos and Junior Moraes were also forced to withdraw after the rest of the Shakhtar Donetsk squad were placed into isolation.

Manchester City's Oleksandr Zinchenko is also not in the squad through injury, meaning that it will once again be a patched-up Ukraine on Saturday night, with West Ham United's Andriy Yarmolenko potentially leading the line for the second match in succession, although Roman Yaremchuk is another option in attack.

As for Germany, Low is expected to ring the changes from the side that started against Turkey, with Manuel Neuer, Toni Kroos, Joshua Kimmich, Timo Werner and Serge Gnabry all potentially coming into the XI.

Benjamin Henrichs, Nico Schulz, Niklas Stark, Nadiem Amiri and Mahmoud Dahoud have all dropped out of the squad ahead of this match, with a 23-man party confirmed on Thursday afternoon.

Lukas Klostermann and Robin Gosens could feature in the wing-back positions, while Antonio Rudiger should feature in central defence despite struggling for football at Chelsea this season.

Ukraine possible starting lineup:
Bushchan; Konoplya, Zabarnyi, Mykolenko, Mykhaylichenko; Malinovskiy, Shaparenko, Kharatin, Makarenko, Zubkov; Yarmolenko

Germany possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Rudiger, Sule, Can; Klostermann, Kimmich, Kroos, Gosens; Havertz; Werner, Gnabry


SM words green background

We say: Ukraine 1-3 Germany

Ukraine will again be far from at full strength, even if they manage to recover a couple of players in time for the contest. Germany, on the other hand, are taking a strong squad to Kiev, and we expect the visitors to pick up all three points in relatively routine fashion.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Ukraine and Germany?

Ukraine
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Draw
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Germany
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Chelsea defender Antonio Rudiger pictured in July 2020
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Tables header RHS

League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal642014
Q Croatia Croatia62228
3 Scotland flag Scotland62137
4 Poland Poland61144

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France641113
Q Italy Italy641113
3 Belgium Belgium61144
4 Israel Israel61144

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany642014
Q Netherlands Netherlands62319
3 Hungary Hungary61326
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina60242

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain651016
Q Denmark Denmark62228
3 Serbia Serbia61326
4 Switzerland Switzerland60242

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
2 Ukraine Ukraine62228
3 Georgia Georgia62137
4 Albania national flag Albania62137

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England650115
2 Greece Greece650115
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland62046
4 Finland Finland60060

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Norway Norway641113
2 Austria Austria632111
3 Slovenia Slovenia62228
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan60151

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Wales flag Wales633012
2 Turkey Turkey632111
3 Iceland Iceland62137
4 Montenegro Montenegro61053

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden651016
2 Slovakia Slovakia641113
3 Estonia Estonia61144
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan60151

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania550015
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo540112
3 Cyprus Cyprus62046
4 Lithuania Lithuania60060

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland632111
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria62319
3 Belarus Belarus61417
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg60333

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia651016
2 Armenia Armenia62137
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands61326
4 Latvia Latvia61144

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q San Marino flag San Marino42117
2 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein40222

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta42117
3 Andorra flag Andorra40131


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