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Ipswich logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Maidstone United

Ipswich
1 - 2
Maidstone

Sarmiento (56')
Edmundson (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reynolds (43'), Corne (66')
Ezennolim (43'), Hoyte (58')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion and Luton Town both progress to the fifth round of the FA Cup after Maidstone United pull off a monumental upset at Ipswich Town's Portman Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Maidstone United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 75.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMaidstone United
75.81% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 14.6% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 9.59% (0.0389 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.88% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.74% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)31.25% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (-0.218 -0.22)52.69% (0.217 0.22)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.15% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)6.85% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.79% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)25.2% (0.159 0.16)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)42.15% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.57% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 75.8%
    Maidstone United 9.59%
    Draw 14.6%
Ipswich TownDrawMaidstone United
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.01% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 75.8%
1-1 @ 6.69% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.6%
1-2 @ 2.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.49% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 9.59%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Maidstone

Ipswich Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Maidstone United
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
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